Click here to read a very good article about Facebook and debunking the myth that Facebook is no longer hot.
Facebook is in fact booming; Twitter too — but anything that gets hyper popular and crosses the chasm from cool — to utility — will get its detractors from mainstream media and hipsters. And — both Facebook and Twitter are really all about global expansion — the US market is teeny tiny now compared to the rest of the world.
I liken it to a band that is discovered by college kids — they get to see the band up close and personal; they become rabid fans; the band then generates a hit song or two — starts to play bigger venues — its popularity soars — it then plays arenas — and ticket prices increase — the band makes lots of music videos and it appears they have sold out — they then play big stadiums and go tour in Europe and the kids who were big fans then reject the band as being too mainstream . Some of my friends feel this way about U2′s development as a band.
I think the story that is being missed about Facebook and Twitter is that these two services are replacing previous communications services such as email and instant messaging; and that the audience for these services is much older and experienced. I call it Facebook’s dirty little secret — they aint young and cool; they are corporate or old and self promoters — sounds like me:-). My news feed is filled every day with links to grown up articles from friends — or with birthday alerts from people all in their 40′s and 50′s. I have 5000 friends on Facebook. Facebook is work — it isnt fun for me.
My son and I had a great conversation the other day — he uses Facebook — and only for his friends and people he knows well; he doesn’t really use Twitter — he says the Verizon ad with the dad sending Tweets — “I am on the patio” and the mom leaving ” I love you” posts on the daughter’s wall is what will kill Twitter and Facebook ; no kid wants to use what his parents use; the ads may help short term but they are positioning the services the wrong way with young adults — he also stated that Facebook has become too corporate and that the applications being launched and advertising that is needed to help them scale will turn off kids and young adults ; Facebook is like U2 now — they are playing stadiums — they are entrenched — they are more popular outside of the US than they are here now — but they aint cool anymore; I like U2 — my son likes U2 — but they have become insufferable for the main stream media.
“Every generation has a chance to change the world” sings Bono on the new commercials promoting Blackberry to promote the new U2 album which hasnt done as well as its past efforts. I believe there is a correlation — the more you sell — the less you may get with a younger generation. Is it better to be needed or loved? I have asked that question to people for 15 years — Facebook and Twitter are no longer loved — they are needed; they are utilities — they are mainstream; they are becoming great businesses — but they cant be cool any longer.
Can’t wait to see more similar posts,continue the great work.
Facebook is a utility in a the sense its a monopoly. For example lots of email has POP3 capability so I can read email from another online account or from Outlook. I can import RSS into my Lotus Notes to read anything from news to tweets.
Facebook doesn’t allow this. There are no RSS feeds for someone FB feed, and there’s no way to respond to a private message from your own email. Facebook is a walled garden, thus a kind of virtual monopoly. True communication tools become channels, where a person hardly notices that they’re in the background.
I truly mean this with all due respect Ted. But I’ve always pointed at the AOL packaged software as the first real example of this phenomenon.